A visible account of the 3-point streakiness of the Charlotte Hornets – At The Hive


The Charlotte Hornets, like a lot of the NBA, have turn out to be closely reliant on the 3-point shot in current seasons. With the heavy reliance on threes comes the problem of conserving the boldness excessive when the photographs aren’t falling. Some gamers and groups are higher than others at this. All of us in all probability have some concept of who the streakiest shooters are on the Hornets, and I made a decision to see what that appears like.

So right here’s what I did. I took the seven Hornets at present on the roster that obtained common rotation minutes final season and recurrently tried 3-pointers—Terry Rozier, LaMelo Ball, Gordon Hayward, Cody Martin, Kelly Oubre, and Jalen McDaniels. For every participant, I charted their rolling 3-point share over the course of the season together with their rolling 3-point share for the newest 5 recreation and up to date ten video games. In different phrases:

  • The grey traces present their 3-point capturing percentages over the course of the season
  • The purple traces present their 3-point capturing percentages for the newest 5 video games performed
  • The teal traces present their 3-point capturing percentages for the newest ten video games performed

So let’s have a look at the images then we’ll discuss them.

Terry Rozier

LaMelo Ball

Gordon Hayward

PJ Washington

Cody Martin

Kelly Oubre

Jalen McDaniels

The very first thing I took away from making all these charts was how effectively they represented the character of capturing consistency. Each participant had their ebbs and flows; nobody shoots at their precise 3-point share for any prolonged time frame. The one participant that was shut is LaMelo Ball, whose capturing consistency is placing given his youth and the way massive a query mark his capturing was earlier than he obtained to the NBA. Another notes:

  • Terry Rozier was comparatively streaky, however he hardly ever bottomed out as a shooter. Additionally when he obtained sizzling, he obtained very, highly regarded as evidenced by the peaks within the 5-game line the place he approached 60% 3-point capturing.
  • Kelly Oubre has probably the most notable popularity as a streaky shooter, however the magnitude of his highs and lows wasn’t a lot totally different than anybody else. The issues that set him aside are the frequency of the ups and downs and the way low the downs obtained. He additionally by no means hit the peaks you’d anticipate given a few of the outbursts we noticed inside just a few particular person video games.
  • There’s purpose to be involved concerning the sustainability of Cody Martin’s 3-point capturing from final season given the truth that he didn’t have a single 5 or ten recreation stretch during the last ~40% of the season the place he matched his season lengthy 3-point share.

Right here’s an overlay of the 5 excessive quantity 3-point shooters to see how all of them evaluate to 1 one other in a single chart (this excludes Martin and McDaniels).

Rolling 3-point share

5-game 3-point capturing share

10-game 3-point capturing share

On the entire right here is how the Hornets as a group shot the ball from three utilizing the identical parameters as above.

The group as a complete had ups and downs all through the season, although the final pattern was fairly constantly downward because the season went alongside till they obtained sizzling for the stretch run. For comparability, that is how Hornets opponents shot the ball.

Once more, the large takeaway from all of that is that 3-point capturing is inconsistent by nature, so it’s one thing to remember if it seems like explicit gamers are cold and warm. There’s nothing Earth shattering about this information, however I believed it was fascinating to visualise since we’re usually fed capturing percentages as considerably static entities.

So let’s focus on. Something you discover significantly fascinating about these charts?

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